The RISC Model depicts the Relative Index of Spatial Crime; the probability of risk of offences that a town may experience.

 
 

This Section Index:

The RISC Model

Crime Categories

Council League Table

Colour Code

RISC For Property: Purchasing a Dwelling


The RISC Model

Gauging a towns' risk of crime is a complex process, which result is best reviewed in that town's relative position to the national crime rate as based on a scientific process reviewing observed and expected (predicted) rates for the diverse socio-economic, landuse and crime parameters.

The RISC MODEL investigates each town and village in Malta at NUTS 5 level (Local Councils) of which there are 68 in the Maltese Islands: 54 in Malta and 14 in Gozo.

Based on data from 1998 onwards, each town is analysed for its risk of crime on an annual basis by types of crime of which there are 18 main categories: 17 thematic categories and a Grand Total category. The risk of crime looks at the offences in each town and gauges its risk of offence as against the national rate.

The analysis results in a league table of Maltese town's risk of crime. The table shows those Local Councils that are the safest to live in, the ones in between and those that are the worst off.

In addition, the rate of change over the years are analysed and the Local Councils showing improvement and deterioration are depicted. This section will be developed over the next few months a sthe main interest of the initial launching website is to introduce the concept based on 3: main crime categories: residential, vehicle and totals.


The Crime categories Review in the main RISC assessment is based on 11 Offence Types and the Grand Total of all these Offences. For a description of each category click on the following table.

Each of the crimes can be further subdivided into a number of sub-categories; for example Burglaries can be broken down into theft from residence, bars, restaurants, factories, etc.

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Crime Categories

 
 


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Council League Table

As part of a review of RISC Modelling for the Maltese Islands, a number of analytical studies have been carried out since 1998.

The results shown hereunder review three specific crime categories from the list.

Grand Total

Theft from Residences

Theft Of or From Vehicles

 

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RISC Colour Code

 
 


RISC Model Results
A National Comparative Analysis
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Colour Code

Review your Local Council's Risk of Crime on a global level (Total Crimes reported). Each year depicts the rank that the councils register. Note that the ranking changes over time as the Model ranks each council placement as against the National Rate of Offence in that particular offence type. The colour scheme is explained below, with a red signifying a very hot area cooling to a green national rete and a no-crime blue area:

Colour
Risk of Crime as against the National Rate
Hotspot Level

Zero Risk: No Crimes Reported - 0

Low Risk: Less than National Rate - <1x
National Risk: Equal to National Rate = 1x
High Risk: Up to Twice the National Rate - 2x
Very High Risk: Between Twice and up to Five times the National Rate - 2x to 5x
Extremely High Risk: Over Five times the National Rate - >5x

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